Static and dynamic prognostic factors for hepatitis-B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

Jung Min Ha, Won Sohn, Ju Yeon Cho, Jeung Hui Pyo, Kyu Choi, Dong Hyun Sinn, Geum Youn Gwak, Moon Seok Choi, Joon Hyeok Lee, Kwang Chul Koh, Seung Woon Paik, Byung Chul Yoo, Yong Han Paik

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

12 Scopus citations

Abstract

RESULTS: A multivariable analysis showed that the unfavorable prognostic factors were a high initial MELD score (≥28) (odds ratio [OR] =6.64, p=0.015), moderate-to-severe ascites at admission (OR=6.71, P=0.012), and the aggravation of hepatic encephalopathy during hospitalization (≥grade III) (OR=15.41, P=0.013). Compared with the baseline level, significant reductions in the MELD scores were observed on the 7th day after admission in the Recovery group (P=0.016).

CONCLUSIONS: Dynamic changes in clinical parameters during admission are useful prognostic factors for hepatitis-B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Hepatitis-B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure has a poor prognosis. However, the advent of potent oral antiviral agents means that some patients can now recover with medical treatment. We aimed to identify the prognostic factors for hepatitis-B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure including the initial as well as the dynamically changing clinical parameters during admission.

METHODS: Sixty-seven patients were retrospectively enrolled from 2003 to 2012 at Samsung Medical Center. The patients were classified into three categories: Recovery group (n=23), Liver transplantation group (n=28), and Death group (n=16). The Liver transplantation and Death groups were combined into an Unfavorable prognosis group. We analyzed the prognostic factors including the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores determined at 3-day intervals.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)232-241
Number of pages10
JournalClinical and molecular hepatology
Volume21
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Sep 2015
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Acute-on-chronic liver failure
  • Chronic hepatitis B
  • Liver transplantation
  • Model for End-Stage Liver Disease

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