Physics-informed convolutional transformer for predicting volatility surface

Soohan Kim, Seok Bae Yun, Hyeong Ohk Bae, Muhyun Lee, Youngjoon Hong

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

5 Scopus citations

Abstract

Predicting volatility is important for asset predicting, option pricing and hedging strategies because it cannot be directly observed in the financial market. The dynamics of the volatility surface is difficult to estimate. In this paper, we establish a novel architecture based on physics-informed neural networks and convolutional transformers. The performance of the new architecture is directly compared to other well-known deep-learning architectures, such as standard physics-informed neural networks, convolutional long-short term memory (ConvLSTM), and self-attention ConvLSTM. Numerical evidence indicates that the proposed physics-informed convolutional transformer network achieves a superior performance than other methods.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)203-220
Number of pages18
JournalQuantitative Finance
Volume24
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - 2024

Keywords

  • Attention mechanism
  • Black–Scholes model
  • Convolutional LSTM
  • Convolutional transformer
  • Physics-informed neural networks
  • Volatility

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