Optimal value of lymph node ratio and metastatic lymph node size to predict risk of recurrence in pediatric thyroid cancer with lateral neck metastasis

Background: No specific guideline exists for risk stratification based on lymph node (LN) status in pediatric thyroid cancer. The purpose of our study is to identify optimal values of lymph node ratio (LNR) and largest metastatic LN size for predicting recurrent/persistent disease, especially in children with lateral neck metastasis (N1b). Methods: We conducted a retrospective study from January 1997 to June 2018 at Samsung Medical Center. A total of 50 papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients who underwent total thyroidectomy + both central neck dissection (CND) + modified radical neck dissection (MRND) (unilateral or bilateral) was enrolled. Results: The median follow-up duration was 60.8 months (range, 6.2–247 months). The mean age was 14.6 years, and the mean tumor size was 2.9 cm. Mean size of the largest metastatic LN was 1.5 cm. Mean value of central LNR was 0.6, and mean value of lateral LNR was 0.3. Largest metastatic LN size [HR = 2.0 (95% CI 1.0–4.0), p = 0.040] and lateral LNR [HR = 43.6 (95% CI 2.2–871.0), p = 0.014] were significant prognostic factors for recurrence. The optimal combination of lateral LNR and largest metastatic LN size to predict recurrence were 0.3 and 2.5 cm, respectively, with the largest AUC (AUC at 60 months = 77.4) and significant p-value (p = 0.009 and p = 0.021) (Table 3). Kaplan-Meier curves showed significant differences in recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates among four groups (Fig. 2A,2B). Conclusions: In pediatric PTC patients with N1b, lateral LNR and largest metastatic LN size are significant predictors for recurrence. Children with lateral LNR > 0.3 or any metastatic lymph node > 2.5 cm in the largest dimension have higher risk for recurrence. Children are classified as extensive N1b if lateral LNR > 0.3 or pathologic N1 with largest LN size > 2.5 cm, and vice versa.