Longitudinal progression trajectory of estimated glomerular filtration rate in children with chronic kidney disease: results from the KNOW-Ped CKD (KoreaN cohort study for Outcomes in patients With Pediatric Chronic Kidney Disease)

Background: The natural course of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression in children varies according to their underlying conditions. This study aims to identify different patterns of subsequent decline in kidney function and investigate factors associated with different patterns of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) trajectories. Methods: We analyzed data from the KNOW-Ped CKD (KoreaN cohort study for Outcomes in patients With Pediatric Chronic Kidney Disease), which is a longitudinal, prospective cohort study. A latent class linear mixed model was applied to identify the trajectory groups. Results: In a total of 287 patients, the median baseline eGFR (mL/min/1.73 m²) was 63.3, and the median age was 11.5 years. The eGFR decline rate was –1.54 during a 6.0-year follow-up. The eGFR trajectory over time was classified into four groups. Classes 1 (n = 103) and 2 (n = 11) had a slightly reduced eGFR at enrollment with a stable trend (ΔeGFR, –0.2/year) and a rapid decline eGFR over time (ΔeGFR, –10.5/year), respectively. Class 3 had a normal eGFR (n = 16), and class 4 had a moderately reduced eGFR (n = 157); both these chasses showed a linear decline in eGFR over time (ΔeGFR, –4.1 and –2.4/year). In comparison with classes 1 and 2, after adjusting for age, causes of primary renal disease, and baseline eGFR, nephrotic-range proteinuria was associated with a rapid decline in eGFR (odds ratio, 8.13). Conclusion: We identified four clinically relevant subgroups of kidney function trajectories in children with CKD. Most children showed a linear decline in eGFR; however, there are different patterns of eGFR trajectories.