Incidence of Chronic Kidney Disease According to Steatotic Liver Disease and Its Subclassifications: A Longitudinal Cohort Study

Background/Aims: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a significant health problem worldwide, and identifying risk factors for CKD is crucial. We investigated the association between steatotic liver disease (SLD) and the incidence of CKD. Methods: This longitudinal cohort study involved 70,361 adults who did not have CKD at baseline and who underwent at least two health checkups. SLD status was assessed via ultrasonography. The severity of SLD was determined using the Fibrosis-4 score. CKD was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m². Results: Over 475,835 person-years (mean 6.8 years), 2,723 participants developed CKD. The adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for development of CKD in participants with SLD compared to those without SLD was 1.17 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08 to 1.27), with the risk increasing with SLD severity. The aHR (95% CI) for incident CKD was 0.84 (0.51 to 1.37) for cryptogenic SLD, 1.25 (1.16 to 1.36) for metabolic dysfunction-associated SLD (MASLD), and 1.32 (1.01 to 1.73) for metabolic dysfunction-associated alcoholic liver disease (MetALD) compared with participants without SLD. Within these SLD subclassifications, the risk of CKD development was increased as disease severity advanced. Conclusions: SLD was linked to a higher incidence of CKD, with the CKD risk increasing sequentially from cryptogenic SLD to MASLD and MetALD. Advanced fibrosis in each SLD subclassification further increases the risk of CKD. Stratifying SLD according to metabolic dysfunction, significant alcohol intake, and fibrosis severity may help identify and monitor individuals at high risk of developing CKD. (Gut Liver, 2026;20:117-124).