Fertility and the oil curse

Dong Hyeon Kim; Shu Chin Lin

doi:10.1007/s00181-024-02570-7

Fertility and the oil curse

Dong Hyeon Kim, Shu Chin Lin

Department of Global Economics

Korea University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

The paper empirically investigates whether oil abundance affects fertility in a panel of developing and developed countries for 1970–2020. The exploration sheds light into why poor developing economies rich in natural resources such as Sub-Saharan African countries have stagnated with high fertility. It finds that fertility rises once oil abundance crosses a threshold level, below which fertility drops, controlling for oil volatility and per-capita GDP. The effect operates in part through women empowerment proxied by female’s labor supply and education. It is also found that oil volatility raises fertility. Besides, we observe a reversal of fertility decline once income reaches a certain level.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	381-416
Number of pages	36
Journal	Empirical Economics
Volume	67
Issue number	2
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-024-02570-7
State	Published - Aug 2024

Keywords

Economic development
Fertility
Oil
Oil volatility
Women empowerment

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1007/s00181-024-02570-7

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title = "Fertility and the oil curse",

abstract = "The paper empirically investigates whether oil abundance affects fertility in a panel of developing and developed countries for 1970–2020. The exploration sheds light into why poor developing economies rich in natural resources such as Sub-Saharan African countries have stagnated with high fertility. It finds that fertility rises once oil abundance crosses a threshold level, below which fertility drops, controlling for oil volatility and per-capita GDP. The effect operates in part through women empowerment proxied by female{\textquoteright}s labor supply and education. It is also found that oil volatility raises fertility. Besides, we observe a reversal of fertility decline once income reaches a certain level.",

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AU - Lin, Shu Chin

N1 - Publisher Copyright: © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2024.

PY - 2024/8

Y1 - 2024/8

N2 - The paper empirically investigates whether oil abundance affects fertility in a panel of developing and developed countries for 1970–2020. The exploration sheds light into why poor developing economies rich in natural resources such as Sub-Saharan African countries have stagnated with high fertility. It finds that fertility rises once oil abundance crosses a threshold level, below which fertility drops, controlling for oil volatility and per-capita GDP. The effect operates in part through women empowerment proxied by female’s labor supply and education. It is also found that oil volatility raises fertility. Besides, we observe a reversal of fertility decline once income reaches a certain level.

AB - The paper empirically investigates whether oil abundance affects fertility in a panel of developing and developed countries for 1970–2020. The exploration sheds light into why poor developing economies rich in natural resources such as Sub-Saharan African countries have stagnated with high fertility. It finds that fertility rises once oil abundance crosses a threshold level, below which fertility drops, controlling for oil volatility and per-capita GDP. The effect operates in part through women empowerment proxied by female’s labor supply and education. It is also found that oil volatility raises fertility. Besides, we observe a reversal of fertility decline once income reaches a certain level.

KW - Economic development

KW - Fertility

KW - Oil

KW - Oil volatility

KW - Women empowerment

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85189433920

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VL - 67

SP - 381

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JO - Empirical Economics

JF - Empirical Economics

IS - 2

ER -

Fertility and the oil curse

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

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